A Wet April on Tap? Perchance.

Continued warmth and sun through the week and into Saturday. Cooling trend should begin tomorrow or Friday, with a chance of rain by Sunday. Chance of rain really improves Sunday night and into Monday. And unsettled pattern to follow.

Of course, and chart or forecast for more than a few hours from now (in the turbulence of spring) really is not that strong. A variety of models are suggesting a continued pattern of storms throughout the month - timing is the real issue. We could see rain as early as late Friday night, but most likely it will hold off until Sunday afternoon. It will all depend on how this storm splits and moves into the coast. Each day, guidance has brought the track a little north. A few days ago, it looked like we would have a chance of showers on Saturday and dry on either side - while SoCal was to get hit hard with up to an inch or rain. Models have changed. We can not expect more than a quick drizzle.

The month looks active, especially for April. Storms, some significant, are foretasted to hit us about every 2-5 days through the 25th. Models beyond that are just super fantasy charts. Regardless, there does not seem to be a giant high pressure settling on us with the jet running into the Pacific North West and British Columbia. Instead, it meanders between north of here, and even south of here.

This is turning out to be a great April for powder hounds. Of course, don't expect much to be left the day after the sun comes out. it is only taking a few hours for the sun to turn powder to mank. Damn April sun! OTOH, this is great great great weather for gardens. Rain continues to keep the ground moist, while that hot April sun is warming up the soil. Good times.

Short list: rain sometime late this weekend, and into Monday. Mostly fair before then. Chance of another storm some time next week; timing is difficult. Currently looking fair for next Saturday (17th). or it might rain. Who knows?

If the rain does come - pure awesomeness. Usually our water year has ended by now. this could be just what we need to put us over the edge and at least feel like we are out of the drought years. As a note, la nina seems to be setting up for the fall and next winter.