Tuesday, October 25, 2016

A Sprinkle was Had.

Today is fairly cloudy.  And humid.  We did receive a sprinkle last night.  One to two one hundredths of an inch.  Really just a sprinkle.  A touch more than a misting.  That was pretty much the case for locations not at elevations.  A few spots in the Santa Cruz mountains are reporting between five and eight one hundredths of an inch.  A light shower they must have had.  And more is on the way.

It is looking less active out there today, but rain persists north of I80.  St Helena received over 3", Shasta Dam 2", Blue Canyon 1.25", Mill Valley .4", with many places posting near an inch on NorCal, and some select locations more than 4 inches.  None of that really made it this far south, and while we see a chance of light rain to persist through tonight, I doubt at this point that we will reach that half inch forecast.  That being said, the Friday storm is really stacking up nicely to give us a wallop.  About that in a second.  Clouds today.  Pack a light rain coat just in case if you don't want to get caught in a shower.  Wednesday is looking like it will be a break, with some sunshine.  It will be cool though (low 60s), as this system will deposit a touch of cold air before dissipating.

Thursday will warm right back up as a strong system sags south just off shore pulling in warm air from the Southwest.  We might hit 70F; it also might be raining.  Get out and enjoy it.  Warm rain is not common around here.  I think the day will actually begin to feel a little muggy, as warmth and humidity increase before the rain.  Cool stuff.  Friday won't have that problem, as the rain will be falling by then and temps will drop back down into the mid 60s.  The weekend will be cooler as the storm moves ashore, followed closely by another.  Again, more to come.

Monday, October 24, 2016

Speeding Up.

quite a bit more cloud cover today.  Looks pretty cool.  Radar sows rain near Pt Reyes currently.  The radio keeps saying rai  down to these parts by dark.  I still think this thing it together down here until tomorrow.  It does look like the rain line will set up near the Monterey/Santa Cruz border by early in the day Tuesday.  And then hang out there through mid morning on Wednesday.  All in all, it only looks like we will be getting between a quarter and half inch during this period.  But don't fret.  The second wave comes later in the week.

Clearing on Wednesday and into Thursday.  Then the next system will drop south just off the coast.  We could see some light rain start on Thursday, but the bulk looks like it will come on Friday.  This system will bring wide spread moderate rain to the state, impacting as far south as the San Bernardino range, and giving the souther Sierra their best wetting since before the drought.  Not nearly enough to start getting super excited, but it would be nice to see snow on the state's tallest mountain.

Stay cozy.  Get ready to garden.  Make some broths.  Stay tuned; there is more to come.

Sunday, October 23, 2016

October to Finish off Wet.

Yup.  That is the word on the street.  You must of seen those clouds fill in this morning.  Felt like it was going to rain almost.  Moisture is streaming overhead, pushed south by a moderate low pressure system bringing rain to the PNW.  Clouds are gorgeous out there tonight. Combined with the low sun angle, sunset season is starting up.  Moderate cloud cover will keep things warm tonight, with a low in the upper 50s.  Tomorrow looks like today (Sunday), low to mid 60s with a slight chance for some afternoon showers.  This chance of rain is looking pretty slim, as the southern edge of the storm system slowly sags southward.  NorCal should see a start to a nice long period of rain though.

Surf picked up over the past weekend.  Stormy conditions most of this week.

The week will see a slight warming trend through mid week, but high temps never escape the 60s.  Tuesday afternoon/evening there is a reasonable chance for some light showers.  Light.  And they should clear out before Wednesday morning.  Cloud cover continues to keep nights warm.  As does the fact that these storms remain off shore.  The first system weakens and dissipates on Wednesday, while the next in line begins to push southward on Thursday.  This storm also remains mostly offshore, streaming moisture and warmth in.  Oh, by the way, basically south winds all week.  Anyway, I think we rain will move in sometime on Friday.  Some models are suggesting Thursday afternoon.  Some late Friday.  It really all depends on how close it gets ashore before being south of us.  It is expected to move inland on Friday/Saturday near Santa Barbara, brings a good dose of rain to much of SoCal.  They need it.

And another is modeled to arrive late Sunday night, into Halloween.  Yes folks, it could be wet on Halloween.  Not too late to dress up as a bag of garbage.  And still way too early to tell if it is an accurate forecast.  The models suggest another brief hot of rain in early November, then a classic autumn time high setting up and diverting the storms north.  This could be setting us up for an excellent winter grow season.  Get those seeds in the ground over the next week, and seedlings in next week, after the rains.  And then let the sun and its warmth do its magic.


Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Almost Hot, For a Day.

Tomorrow should be in the low 80s.  Not bad for mid October.  The really nice warm up I forecasted for the end of the work week won't quite come together.  Too bad.  Looks like the weather is going to remain active.  Suppressing the warm up is another low pressure system rolling off the Gulf of Alaska this weekend and pushing down the coast of BC and the PNW.  A solid rain fall is expected for Seattle.  This will cause us to cool down starting on Friday.  Highs will drop back into the low 70s, and dipping into the mid to upper 60s by Sunday.  The sky remains mostly sunny through this period.

The large surf we had over last weekend has been subsiding.  They was still sizable surf up the coast this morning, and that will continue to drop through the work week.  Another swell arrive in the evening Friday, filling in Saturday morning with what looks like very good surface conditions.  Could be a solid day for surf.  What is of a little more interest is that storm I was just talking about.  After it takes aim on the PNW, the southern fringe begins to move into northern California on Sunday morning.  Rain could push south through the day, and give us some moderate showers Sunday night into Monday morning.  This system has some cooler air, and the start of next work week should see highs only in the lower 60s.  Chances for rain persist through Tuesday.  Currently it looks like a second wave of rain could hit on Tuesday/Wednesday after a break on Monday.  More on this later.