Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Summery.

Only shot I got of the super moon.  From the car, at a stop light.
So wished I had set up somewhere with the tripod.  Hard driving with that thing around.
Around this time of year, a lot of the other weather bloggers start shutting down because things are getting a bit boring.  No torrential downpours and flooding or major dumps and powderdays.  No hellish commutes because of weather.  No wondering much what the next days bring.  Basically, for the next several months you can expect mostly fogging mornings.  Some will start clear and others will see the grey linger all day.  But, for the most part, clearing between 8 and 11, deepening on where you look.  Warm, breezy afternoons will be likely.  Some days will stay calm and be hot.  And others will stay cloudy and calm(ish).  Moderate overnight lows with fog moving in after dark.  Or it might show up earlier, or not at all.  So, I could be done for the summer.  I mean, nothing big is going to happen.  Perhaps a prolonged foggy spell here, and perhaps a bit of a heat wave there.  There could be good period to plant, or a time to spray some copper on those tomatoes.  Peaches and stone fruit showing up at the market (BTW, real good apricots out there right now).  We might even get one of those killer south swells with no wind.  But for the most part, things are going to remain the same for some time.  But the details still matter.

This week looks pretty interesting.  Basically, it is as above.  Last night the fog never came in, giving us a clear, crisp morning.  Generally, an open night sky will allow for greater cooling.  Foggy mornings tend to be a bit warmer.  But once that sun comes up, we can warm quickly with out cloud cover.  Today could reach into the 70s along the coast, and warmer inland.  You folks tucked up behind the Santa Cruz Mountains (Los Gatos & Saratoga) could move into the 80s.  Back here in Santa Cruz, though, it should be a nice day.  Northwest winds will build through the day, but protected areas, like Cowell's will only see a light breeze.  The rest of the week, we begin to see the high pressure filling the entire north east Pacific, will start to change shape.  This will allow the fog to return and stronger winds to show up.

Kirkwood closes with the Wall looking might fine.  Once things started in January, it was a pretty good succinct season.

Wednesday could start foggy, and it looks likely that Thursday will.  Ultimately, that would make those days a bit cooler.   But by Thursday a gradient will be set up along the Mendocino coast, and start to blow pretty hard.  We will see some of that wind down here, and it will pull the fog out early.    Expect high 60s, but with some wind chill on that.  Friday looks similar.  By the weekend, the high could try to push onshore.  If it does, we will see some warming, otherwise, it looks like light winds, and more westerly.  Good chance for sun and maybe a two day warm spell starting Sunday or Monday.  Then it looks like a return to a typical summer set up through next week.  Could see some strong afternoon winds setting up.

Sure is fun.  A decent sized, if inconsistent south is hitting right now.  That should stick around through the week, with reinforcements showing up by late in the week, and again late in the weekend.  Mornings could be fun.  Watch the fog, and try to get on it early.  Good waves are in town, but with sets every 10 to 20 minutes, crowds can take the fun out of it.  If you like to kite, it looks good right now in the afternoons, with winds increasing through the week.

In short, high 60s to low 70s.  Some foggy mornings.  Winds strong Thursday and maybe Friday.  Decent weekend, with a chance of Sunday starting calm and clear.  With a little luck we could sneak in a 80 degree day here soon.

No comments:

Post a Comment