Saturday, May 18, 2013

49/69 with a Slight Chance of Morning Fog, and a Very Good Chance of Strong NW Wind.


That about sums it up.  And looks lie I should have stuck with my initial forecast of morning sun.  Friday turned out to be quite nice, and Saturday was no shame.  If you could hide from the wind, it was beach weather.  Mornings are a bit easier, but that wind is coming up fast, so it is blowing well before the sun warms things up.  Morning lows are just a hair under 50F.  So it is still chilly early.  Warms up nicely before noon.  So, seeing that my fog forecast for the past two mornings, I again predict a little marine layer for Sunday, and hope that I am wrong.  I tell you though, the north west flow has been so strong it has not allowed fog to settle any where.  So, at least if we do end up with fog, it means the winds are starting off lighter.  Anyway, the high will be a hair shy of 70F.


Roaring Camp Railroad is a lot of fun on a nice warm day.  And you are out of the winds for the most part.

So, the weather is kind of boring for the foreseeable future.  Best guess is for a little fog Monday from a day of slightly lighter winds.  Don't get me wrong, it will still be windy, just not gale force.  Maybe some fog Tuesday morning from a closed low that could develop just to our north.  No rain, and just some fog perhaps.  Winds seem to pick up and keep it clear for the rest of the work week.

Of more interest is the long period south swell that is to fill in this evening.  Last Monday this swell hit Tahiti and made some seriously huge tubes.  In fact they had big waves for the entire week.  What we get will be filtered through the south Pacific islands and beaten down by winds and high pressure.  But we should still get something.  Right now the period is running about 20 seconds, but will drop to 19 seconds tomorrow.  Deep water focal breaks will make the most of this first pulse.  With luck it will be head high plus when it peaks Monday.  Additional pulses with initial periods around 17 seconds arrive through the week.  What ever waves do make it through will be arriving over the next seven days.  And by next weekend we may see the arrival of a decent WNW swell.  So, looks like we have waves for the next seven or more days.

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