Sunday, October 21, 2018

Autumnal.

The weather has been quite fine the past week.  Super calm, and super glassy through the middle of last week allowed for some warming.  By Friday we were in the 80s for an afternoon high.  The weekend was quite nice, but cooler.  Slightly.  And we are now into a cooling trend, with the marine layer moving in overnight.  Expect fog in the morning like we saw on Sunday early.  That will break apart relatively early, and then we will see some wind for the afternoon.  Almost summer like.  So why the post title?  Cause it won't last.

Sea grass on the sand dunes Truc Vert on Cap Ferret.  July, 2018.


Fog again for Tuesday morning.  The week starts off with highs in the upper 60s and lows in the mid 50s.  Fog does work like a blanket at night.  The stars are still out at this hour, so depending on when that blanket moves in, we could see some significant radiational cooling.  In that cause, it could be both cold and foggy in the morning.  So, there is that.  It looks like by Wednesday we will be free of the marine layer, and free to start warming up again.  A high of 70 for the middle of the week, topping out in the mid 70s for Friday and Saturday.  As it stands now, it looks like we could cool a little bit into Sunday, but still sunny and basically warm.  Very autumn like.

We have had some fun waves over the last few weeks, and that looks to continue.  Another south swell arrives tomorrow, at the same time, a series of small, mid period NW swell arrive.  Both swells build through mid week, and then another, mid sized and mid period NW Gulf of Alaska swell arrives on Thursday.  Busy week for waves if you can figure out where they will be working the best.  The point is always a good option, but watch that mid morning high tide.

In the long range, nothing exciting.  Storms continue to get pushed north into Canada or the PNW.  There is an outside chance for some rain in NorCal by months end.  Halloween looks dry.  When you look way out into the fantasy charts, our high pressure begins moving west, and by around November 7th, it is far enough west, that we could see some rain come down its eastern flank from the north.  But that is weeks away, and therefore not very confidence inspiring.  If you are growing a winter garden, this is great news.  Lack of rain usually means sunshine and warmth for Santa Cruz in the autumn.  My favas, beets, broccoli and carrots are coming in great.  More sunshine can only help.  I even have a fall green bean harvest going right now.  How cool is that?


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