Sunday, April 3, 2011

That Was Rough, Eh. Rebound Today Through Mid Week.

It almost rained yesterday.  Actually, it did rain yesterday at 8500 feet, in areas along the Sierra Crest.  Down here in Santa Cruz, it was mostly muggy through the middle part of the day.  Blue skies broke for a few hours in the late morning.  And it was crisp.  Especially when compared to Friday.

Today should have a bit of chill in the air as well, but we will have plenty of sun to help warm the soul.  Things started off in the low 40s for the most part and will rise through the mid 60s and even hit 70F in some areas.  Again, Santa Cruz is looking to be a toasty location.  The south bay is starting to warm up and looks to be the warmest area on the water.  SF keeps its cool, as usual.  The central valley is also starting to gain some warmth, and does a great job of retaining it through the week.  In general mid to high 70s on Monday, mid 50s to low 60s on Thursday - and a slow transition in between.  We start off the week sunny and see clouds coming in by later in the day Wednesday.

Thursday brings with it a very slight chance of rain and mountain snow.  And a bit of cooling.  Freezing levels may drop below 4000 feet during the coldest periods, but it will be short lived.  More likely we will see snow up above 5500 feet and mostly rain below.  While is does look like the mountains will receive a few inches of snow, this is not a very wet system.  And the rain looks like it will miss the coastal region with this one.  That is not bad news.  Still, we should expect clouds.  Also, winds look to increase on Tuesday and Wednesday as this system moves into the area.

Surf outlook is decent for spring.  Friday was pretty spectacular with no wind in the morning, a solid swell and mid day temps in the 80s.  By Saturday morning a stiff NW picked up, shutting down all but the most protected Santa Cruz breaks.  Winds continued today as the swell dwindled.  Monday should be smaller wind swell, but the mid period swell begins to pick up out of the NW on Tuesday and gets into the decent size on Wednesday.  The best breaks will see waves in the over head to double overhead range mid week, slightly easing toward the end of the work week.  The concern right now is over winds, which look to be strong (out of the NW) as the swell peaks.  Still, for April, this looks like a fun week of surf.

Tonight we expect a solid freeze in the mountains, setting us up for some good corn skiing Monday.  Over the weekend, things were a bit sticky, as warm nightly temperatures kept the mank factor high.  Early in the week, with the cold nights, and sunny days, should see some good skiing.  Thursday looks to be a bit of a storm day, with a frozen surface, and little fresh snow.  Friday looks to have similar conditions, but a little fresh snow may begin to build up.  More of the same for Saturday, and clearing begins by Sunday.  This coming weekend will be a mixed bag, with Sunday looking to be the best day.  Still, it will be cool, and not so much for T-Shirt days.

So, this week starts out pretty nice, with tomorrow being the warmest.  Breezy conditions, and cooling begin Tuesday.  Clouds come in late Wednesday night and stick around for a few days.  Some chilly weather for the end of the work week.  Saturday we begin to see a transition late, and Sunday looks fair. More clouds and precipitation as you head east.  And again, Santa Cruz looks like it may be spared too many clouds, thanks to our facing south into the bay.

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