No Warnings.

Yup.  Currently, no warnings, notices, advisories or other communications are posted up for our region on the NOAA site.  That mean we are in the midst of a few placid days.  The cold is finally starting to abate today.  Warming trend not to be quite as significant as previously advertised.  We still might see 70F here in the protected corners of west side Santa Cruz, but most spots will be just shy of that mark tomorrow.  Regardless, Friday is going to be stellar.  The weekend starts out pretty nice.

Some days, the surf is small and playful, and beautifully lit.

Winds from th past few days are gone.  Calm and warming today.  Might get into the mid 60s.  Calm and even warmer on Friday.  Some afternoon breezes build.  Saturday again starts calm, but a bit cooler.  Highs back in the 60s.  So far, so good.  Then we see a bit of a pattern change.  Our nice high pressure will once again begin to go on the move.  This time shifting westerly.  At first, a bit of the bubble might stay on top of us.  In the early morning hours of Sunday, a wave will move across the coast.  Likely that rain stays in Marin or northeast of there.  This is not a little storm, so we should still expect some southerly winds developing and cloud cover.  I'd even expect some of the local hills to trap a little moisture.  Not much more than drizzle.  Of course, this thing could always dig a hundred miles further south and we then would see heavy rains.  Another wave late Sunday night and into Monday morning.

What happens next is still a bit of a question, but it looks like each successive system digs a bit further south.  And they all have a wallop of a punch.  Tuesday and Thursdays currently look like peak days of storminess.  These systems are looking like they may draw some warmer air in.  Not warm like in the 70s, but warm, as in warm for a winter storm.  We should be seeing high 50s at the coast and a freezing level up around 5-7K.  Maybe even warmer than than.  We will fine tune this as we approach next week.

Other days the surf is raging, and the points are on fire.

Great few days on tap.  Get it while it is good.  Greater chances of poor weather the second half of this weekend and next week.  Don't even get me started on later in the month.