Saturday, January 6, 2018

A Solid Half Inch.

Rainfall totals were decent, but not overly impressive.  More along the lines as expected.  The west side of town received between a third and a half inch of rain.  Love Creek, near Felton received almost an inch.  Most rain tapered off just prior to midnight.  It was a pretty nice day out there.  Warm in the sun.  We found a few puddles on the Pogonip, but it was mostly dried out already.  That earth is thirsty.  Good thing we have more on the way.  And it still looks like a humdinger.

Kirkwood has coverage (barely) to the base.  The past few days I'm sure covered a few more rocks.



First, Sunday, a repeat of today.  Mild, with a good amount of sun.  Get out and enjoy.  Clouds move in late Sunday, and it will be warm Sunday night.  Wind will begin to whip up.  It looks like the rain will arrive after sunrise on Monday.  Light at first, but solid by mid day.  Wind increases through the day hours, with sustained winds over 3o mph from the south west.  Gusts could exceed 45mph.  This thing has some energy.  Rain will increase in intensity during the afternoon and we could see up to a half inch by sunset.  Then things get real.  Winds will back off a bit in the evening, but the deluge sets in and we could see almost two inches of rain overnight.  It will stay in the 50s overnight.

Tuesday will begin rainy.  While the heaviest rain will be moving south and east of us by sunrise, we can still expect moderate rains into late morning.  Things lighten up in the afternoon, but showers persist in the area into the evening.  About 60F.  Clouds break a bit, and temps will drop into the 40s Tuesday night.  Wednesday, and into the weekend still look nice.  Upper 60s to 70F by late in the week and into the holiday weekend.  Plenty of sun.

All said and down we are looking at over two inches of rain for Santa Cruz.  GFS is the wettest, but composites still have us wet.  Best guess right now is between 2.2 and 2.8 inches of rain.  And we should expect more in the hills.  Monday afternoon commute will be rough.  Especially will all the holiday folks returning to work.  Tuesday morning will be even worse.  Expect some delays.  Be prepared, slow down, drive like your not an ass, and it should all work out okay.

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