Trending Wetter.

If you can believe the GFS, things are going to get a bit wetter tonight.  Its the outsider, but is I like the sound of it.  This day's rain performed well, with a third of an inch already.  It was light and consistent.  Perfect for a walk through the Pogonip to rehab an ankle, stomp some puddles and count the banana slugs.  Eleven, I believe.  We had a break in the late afternoon and early evening, but rain has moved back in.  Radar looks denser than it did this morning, so I suspect we have more rain on the way tonight.  Let's see where we end up, but I'd suspect we will hit at least four tenths an inch.  Would not be terribly surprised if we ended up with two thirds.  But the system has lots of holes in it, so it depends just where those showers form.  By morning we should see some clearing.  Low 50s tonight.  Some high elevation snow overnight; mostly above 8000 feet.

The duck dive, the look, the ignore, the scratch, the wonder, a guy banking it off solid and the staircase.  Steamer Lane.

This system is pretty warm.  It might feel muggy mid day tomorrow as the humidity drops and the sun warms us.  Mid 60s, and a pretty decent afternoon.  Sunday will be a little less cloudy and and slightly less warm.  Still very nice.  Enjoy the weekend.  It will be a break.  Try to remember last winter when we had to be prepared to take advantage of a day that was not a raging storm.  Embrace that this weekend.  The next storm is upstream and headed our way Monday.  Again, the GFS is bullish on this one.  Let's go with that.  It will be pretty warm to start, with the low on Sunday night in the mid 50s.  The day will warm to about 60F, with rain likely arriving well before mid day.  Fine tuning as we get closer.  Between noon Monday and Tuesday we could see several inches fall in town.  Most of that falling after midnight, so expect a nasty Tuesday morning commute.  Again, fine tuning as we get closer.  Even though other models are drier, none expect less than an inch of rain during the 24 hour period of heaviest precipitation.  Overnight it will drop to the low 50s, warming again to about 60F on Tuesday.  Rain backs off in the afternoon, and colder air moves in.  Lows will drop into the mid 40s Tuesday night.

Looks like sunshine and warm days to follow.  Mid 60s Wednesday.  Low 40s Wednesday night.  Then we begin to warm, with 70F not out of the question to start the holiday weekend.  Mornings will be crisp into the weekend.  Some nice winter weather.  And remember what I said about enjoying the breaks.  Do it again late next week and weekend, because the fantasy range GFS has over 5 inches of rain in Santa Cruz by the 20th.  Could be just what the doctor ordered, but would mean the storm door is going to be open.  Get geared up and get out there and stomp some puddles.  The season has begun.  Enjoy.