Rain is a Coming.

Fun moderate swell the past few days.  Calm conditions were a plus.  This cool foggy weather will soon turn to cool wet weather.  Thursday should be similiar to the past few days.  Rain moves slowly down the coast Friday.  Commuters be ready.  The first rains pull out the oils and slick the road.  Rain arrive overnight for the city (that is SF), and moves south through the morning.  We should not be surprised by light rain before noon here in town, but the bulk looks to arrive in the early afternoon hours, tapering into the evening.  Like a half an inch or so.  Saturday morning we could escape showers, but another wave is expected for Saturday evening.  A third on Sunday evening might be deflected to our north.   And the forth on Monday evening will most certainly, as high pressure sets in.  We could see temps as warm as 80F by the middle of next week.  Love this place.




I'll try to get a better look at how much, when and where, but for now plan for a wet weekend in Santa Cruz.  The mornings look like the best bet to get outside.  Or just get out them wellies and slickers and go a stomping.  Surf looks to really pick up this weekend, with some XXL stuff possible for Sunday/Monday.  Conditions looks questionable at this point, and possibly stormy.  Be careful if you are going out.  And consider run-off.  More tomorrow.

Winter is coming.

Swell.  Rain.  Chilliness.  It is all coming or already here.  A fun sized long period swell hit from the northwest yesterday.  More comes Thursday, and possibly a big swell for next Monday.  But the big news for most will be the rain storm coming this Friday.  This is not your typical mid October surprise that brings a quarter inch of rain and is gone after 12 hours.  We can expect rain to arrive sometime Friday and fall off and on through Monday, dropping well over an inch in town, and two and half in the local mountains.  Parts of the northern Sierra and coast are looking at upwards of 5 inches, and the crest near Tahoe at about three inches.  Impressive amounts of wind will come with this system.  Button down the hatches folks.  Bring in things from the yard.  Close the car window.  This is going to be a great start to our water year.

Cool and foggy through Thursday.  Some breaks in the grey mid day.  South flow.  Highs in the upper 60s, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 50s.  I'll post up more details about the weekend before Thursday evening.  There.  I made a promise.

Fall Opener?

Today there will was little bit of NPAC wind swell in the the water.  Nothing impressive by local October standards.  But a little taste.  The opener is brewing out past by the dateline today.  We will have a small to moderate long period swell arriving late in the day Sunday.  Get your game ready.  We have some nice weather to enjoy on the way there.  The warming trend peaks out Friday and Saturday with temps in the low 80s.  Friday will have some moderate afternoon winds, but Saturday looks like it will be fairly calm.  Could be some awesome beach weather.

Sunday will be a touch cooler, in the mid 70s.  Next work week we see a cold front move through with temps in the low 70s Monday and upper 60s Tuesday.  A low pressure will move ashore in the PNW mid week, with a very slight chance that we could see light rain as far south as the Bay Area.  Doubt we will, but it is worth staying tuned.  At the very least, we will see cooler weather next week.

Awakenings

A drizzle and heavy, humid day here in town.  A few inches of snow on the peaks.  And stirrings in the northern Pacific.  We are in the turn.  A low cloud layer this morning will give way to sun, moderate north west breezes and some warmth.  It should hit 70F this afternoon for the first time in a few days.  No real change.  Warming trend through the end of the week.  Topping at about 80F.  Not quite hot weather, but pleasant warm autumnal weather.  Crisp mornings with overnight lows in the low to mid 50s.  Good ripening weather.  Not so good setting weather.

I've recently planted fava, which should over winter nicely, and string beans, which I hope to have a quick harvest of around the holidays.  If we have a nice fall, that could be the result.  Or runts.  Anyway, the long range still have some storms coming our way.  I'm not counting on that happening just yet, but I'll keep an eye out and post up here.

Smaller surf this week with the souths out of the picture.  Small NW mid period wind swell builds through Thursday.  Waist high in town, and maybe head high at OB.  Looks like we could be seeing much more coming out of the NPAC next week.