Saturday, September 17, 2011

Reprieve.

The increasing gales in the Gulf of Alaska have sufficiently pushed down on the high pressure and turned off the fog machine.  At least for the next few days.  Today, the fog burned off before 9AM along the Santa Cruz County coast, and it is expected to remain that way through the middle of next week.  Hooray! This is a taste of what is to come.  And an added plus for you surfers.  We should have some small to moderate NW swell arriving by Monday.  It is almost like the real fall. But it may not last, so be ready for a bit more fog.

Foggy mornings down at the Boardwalk.

Overall, the models continue to suggest an increasingly active north Pacific.  The rain I mentioned for the PNW arriving Sunday will mostly be confined to Washington State and north.  No biggie.  It is still a southern encroachment of wet weather.  We can continue to expect an increasing chance of rain for the Bay Area.  Also, the long term models no longer have moisture riding into our coast for months end, but we still see a pool of rain just off the coast to our west.  We do continue to see a series of storms lining up in the Pacific for two weeks.  At the very least, these storms will send us wave.  Better yet, good waves.  Even better, they can turn off the fog machine.  And finally, they may give us rain.  But nothing is forecast as of yet.

Late day clouds above the Santa Cruz west side.

For the coming days, we can expect to see increasing warmth through Tuesday.  We will really see the effects along the coast, as the fog will remain at a minimum.  Even spots like Ocean Beach can expect sunny mornings for a few days.  Inland, things will heat up into the 90s.  Santa Cruz may see the 80s on Monday.  San Francisco should get well into the 70s.   Bring on autumn.  Things begin to cool a bit starting Wednesday, and we may see the fog pump turn back on by Thursday or Friday.  I don't really expect to see the marine layer get too thick and encroached will all the activity expected in the Gulf.  We will need to get a little closer and see how things play out.  For now, get out and enjoy this spectacular weather.

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