Irony.

Funny how thing work out.  So, again, it looks like we could see some rain early next week.  Again.  Difference is, this time, it is forecast to come from the south.  Major Hurricane Rosa is currently churning up swell just west of the coast of Baja Sur.  That storm is going to drive north, and then northeast, coming ashore Monday and driving into the American Southwest.  This will pull in moisture off the Pacific, giving California its first rain of the season on Tuesday.

Barrel Mill, Fall Creek, Felton, California.

Currently there is a small storm system in the northwestern Gulf of Alaska.  Saturday will start off foggy, just like summer.  We could even get a light drizzle.  (edit: clear this Saturday morning as of 7AM - might end up warming a bit more than mid 60s) Sun comes out mid day and it remains cool, in the mid 60s.  Meanwhile, a low develops just off the coast.  Sunday looks similar.  That low pressure off the coast pushes light rain into California north of Pt Reyes.  That small storm in the northwest, shifts south, and weakens.  Still, it brings a lot of moisture to just off our coast by Monday.      We may actually see a little less fog Monday morning, but it will be hard to tell with the increase in cloud cover.  It will be warmer, as Rosa moves north, pushing a tropical wave in front of it.  Might even get humid out by afternoon.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be cloudy, muggy and showery.  Some south facing slopes could experience heavy rains.  Rosa moves inland, and drags in moisture from the weak low pressure just off our coast.  The fact that a NPAC storm is involved will keep things from being too muggy.  As of now, not expecting thunderstorms in Santa Cruz, but we should see them in the mountains in southern California.  Locally, we will see maybe a tenth of an inch here in town, and maybe two tenths in the mountains.  I'll update that as we get closer.  Rain is gone by Thursday, and we may finally get that autumn set up I promised a week ago.

Mid range charts have a second tropical system wetting the southwest around the 10th and a Pacific storm wetting the northwest (down to about SF) on the 13th.  Watching and reporting here.

As for the surf.  Well, it was really fun today.  Surprisingly so.  Whatever combo souths that are in the water right now are slowly fading.  Hurricane Rosa is building a steep south swell right now.  We could see very little, or up to five feet of swell that will only hit those spots that can pick up form east of due south.  That will build on Sunday and peak Monday into Tuesday.  We should also start to see some small northerly and westerly swell from the storms in the Gulf.  That will slowly build next week, with a chance at something more significant later in the week.  The NPAC is starting to stir.