Saturday, March 26, 2011

Are You Ready For a Change in Weather? Break Out Those T-Shirts and Apply the Sunblock.

Storm surf and storm runoff collide
Two more days.  Perhaps even just this one.  Saturday broke to steady rain on the coast and heavy snow in the mountains.  Moderate winds are blowing from the south.  Compared to Thursday, it is quite mellow out there.  Still, the water is again running in the streets, with few places to go.  Moderate to heavy rains in the morning subside to showers later in the day.  Tonight should see some breaking up of the system.

Sunday, we see a chance of showery weather, mainly to our north.  Still, if this system carves just a bit further south, rain could spread across the region, reaching south of Monterey.  Marin looks likely to receive some rain during the afternoon and evening.  The morning hours look best for some outdoor activity, and points south may stay fair throughout the entire day.  Showers should end overnight across the region, leaving just wet roads, and some pools of water, to contend with on the Monday morning commute.  Still, continue to use caution, as it will take a bit of time for this water to find some where to go.  And then the fun of spring begins.

Plenty of erosion potential this past week.
Monday will be a transition day, with the clouds slowly breaking apart, and the sky opening up.  I would not be surprised to see a few isolated showers during the day, but expect mostly dry weather.  And rising temperatures.  By Monday afternoon, the sky should be mostly clear, with a high in the low to mid 60s.  The sun stays out through the entire work week, with a peak temperature of 75F expected on Thursday in the warmest zones (Santa Cruz and the south Bay).  It is going to be quite a week down here on the coast.  Some smaller systems may bring showers back for next weekend.  We will see how the models play out.  As we start our transition to spring, the models become increasingly erratic.  Some of our long range predictors are suggesting a return to an open storm door, but it is highly doubtful we will see anything like this last week's weather again this season.

A huge huck into Once is Enough
The Sierra has received about 150 inches of snow in the past week, 200 inches in the last two weeks about 250 inches in the month of March.  It has been quite a run, and the region is struggling with getting all that snow off the roads.  Most resorts are open today, but will struggle with getting much open.  Strong gust continue over the ridge tops, and the snow keeps piling up, making avalanche mitigation difficult work.  Still, if you are up there, and you love deep snow, you are stoked.  This may be the last big dump for the powder hounds, and tomorrow will be the day.  Snow will continue to fall, but very lightly.  Visibility will improve greatly from today.  And even the roads may be clear and open.  Reports from around the lake are coming in as "epic."  Get out there and huck off of something.  The landings are about as soft and deep as they ever get.



So, rain continues to be steady today, getting lighter as the day goes on.  Sunday we begin transition, with a chance of showers spreading south through the region.  Monday we see clearing.  Next week it will beautiful out.  Like a perfect January day.

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