Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Warming trend through Saturday; continued morning fog.

The afternoon condition will swing back and forth between a moderate north west breeze blowing, and a light westerly breeze.  Early mornings will have mostly grey overhead, but just as over the last few mornings, we can get some sun on the south facing slopes very early if the fog is high enough.  Regardless, most days will be clearing early.  Well, early compared to not clearing at all.  Sun starts to break through around 9 in the morning on the west side.  This is actually great growing weather, especially for those tender vegetables like tomatoes.  A little bit of fog keeps the overnight lows from plummeting too low.  Clear nights cool off much quicker due to radiational cooling, where the open sky steals the grounds warmth.  Anyway, lows of just about 60F.  Highs build through the 70s into the weekend.  Some interesting stuff showing in the mid to long term.



Kirkwood Meadows.  




On the chart now, for the first day of autumn next week is a rain storm for the PNW and fine weather for us.  The first storm in the series has already been forced into the Aleutians by the summer time high pressure, and is sending us a small long period north Pacific swell to arrive later this week.  The second if forming further south, but likely won't get much traction on the water before being jetted north.  Number two actually act like a primer, weakening a spot in the high pressure, for a third system that is forecast to punch through, and feed off the energy as it heads toward to the west coast of northern North America.  Possible strong rain system to hit BC and/or PNW for around the 22nd.  Rain not likely for us, but we could see our high pressure pump up on top of us, to combat the low to its north, giving us those cool nights, fine sunny crisp mornings, and some real warmth by afternoon.  But of course, this is almost two weeks out, so really, just conjecture.  

Friday, September 5, 2014

977, and dropping.

That low pressure up in the northern Pacific, about to cross the date line and encroach on the Gulf of Alaska is currently at 977mb.  And dropping.  Not too shabby for an early September storm.  Does it spell a change in the weather.  Not really.  That thing ain't gonna make it too far before slamming into a wall of high pressure and get sent up over the Klondike.  Or somewhere near there.  The backside of the high, where we are located will continue with the summer time weather pattern.  Some sun.  Today was almost sunny at times.  Looks like more of that is to come.  Sure, with that whole north westerly thing starting to turn on, you'd expect early morning clearing.  Yet the real gradient will stay well north and we will barely be out of the eddy flow.



SUP, Nubble Light.  What a lovely place.  York Beach, Maine.


Some warming for the weekend.  Lows continue to be about 60F, but the daytime will sees highs in the mid and upper 70s.  Woot!  A little cooler after Sunday, but yeah, not really.  There still is some interesting developments in the forecast for mid month.  Maybe a chance of some nice fall like weather as rain moves into the PNW.  We can only hope.

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Stay grey, but perhaps fall is on the way.

South flow through the end of the work week keeps us grey through most of the day.  That cloud cover keeps us from getting too cool at night, helping those tomatoes to ripen up.  Lows just about 60F.  On the other hand, that cloud cover is keeping things from warming up too much during the day.  Highs are just tipping into the 70s.  But things look like they will change a bit for the weekend.



Sea grass, sea rose and the sea with a few lobster buoys.  York, Maine.



No much though.  And still summer like.  But with a little bit of a north west flow developing, we could see the fog lift a bit earlier, and those high temps rise a bit further.  Mid to upper 70s for the weekend.  It looks like the light south to west flow will return for Monday.  More grey.  For a while at least.  On a positive note, the fog has been heavy enough for some light drizzle early in the mornings, providing just enough water for most of my garden.  Anyway, we will have more of that for next week it seems.  When we start looking 7-10 days out, the GFS is forecasting an increase in activity in the north Pacific.  If, and when, a low pressure system moves into British Columbia mid month, we could see our high pressure settle up upon us, and give us several days of warmth and sun.  If and could.  Anyway, fight the mold and fungus, and look forward to the fall growing season.  It is getting about time to start getting those winter plots set up.  If you can plant in September, then you know your plants will be well established by winter.

Monday, September 1, 2014

Someone should tell summer that it ends on Labor Day.

It was a pretty nice weekend.  Warm in the Sierra.  Hot in the interior.  Not cold on the coast.  But that is all about to change.  A grey start on Tuesday, but with the northwest flow still in effect, things could clear relatively early, bringing the warmest day of the work week in the mid 70s.  South flow and more fog is on the way, and should be fully developed by mid week.  So, basically, expect cooler weather returning, with the coastal air conditioning in full effect.  Cool, grey mornings, with overnight lows not dropping much below 60F.  Slow clearing through the day.  On most days.  Some may be slow enough to not quite clear.  High of just about 70F.  This looks like it could continue into the weekend, just as a nice solid long period south swell should be peaking.



Now, that is a lobster.  Just off the coast of Ogunquit, Maine.  



By the following week, we could see a north west wind flow pattern return, but at least over night fog looks to continue.  At least from the vantage point of today.  What is interesting is the forecast of a low pressure system to move into the eastern Gulf of Alaska about 10 days out.  A bit early for this kind of pattern, but not unheard of.  And that is on the fantasy charts, so we have a while still to iron that one out.  It does not look like a rain maker for us, but if it were to develop, it would effect our sunshine in a positive, fall like way.  One can hope.