Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Some fog, then more shine, then rain perhaps.

It is not quite summertime weather out there today, but kind of almost feels that way.  Last night, around 8PM, a thin low fog creeped into Santa Cruz.  At 10PM it was still 77F at the summit, but 59F at Pasatiempo.  That fog sure cooled us off, and when it peeled back from the west side before dawn this morning, it was quite chilly out.  That has mostly pulled away to the coast, and things will warm up into the upper 70s today.  Some light north west onshore breezes will develop today, staying just about 10 knots, perhaps stronger around the points and headlands.  Not quite kite boarding wind, and not quite surfing non wind.  Something in between.  The trend continues through the week, with a chance of sunnier and warmer weather by the weekend.


The Central Park Reservoir was looking more full than our local holes this summer. Pray for rain.  




If you like light winds, low to mid 80s and sunshine, then you have a chance at being happy this coming weekend.  Been great weather to ripen up tomatoes and this coming weekend, looks like a good time to plant some winter crop seedlings.  Not to hot, but plenty of sunshine.  We have our peas started.  And some lettuce.  Maybe we need to get in the broccoli, or Brussels sprouts.  Or Kale.  Anyway, looks like a good weekend.  Meanwhile, low pressure systems start developing in the northern Gulf, and begin moving southerly through the week.  Strong rain storms begin impacting the PNW around next Tuesday, with a slow creep toward our state by Thursday, and perhaps rain for our region by the following weekend.  Of course these storms are still way out in fantasy land, but it looks like a lot of water is coming to the west coast, with some of that making its way to California.  I'll keep an eye on this and report back.

For now, dress a little warmer in the morning, but plan for nice afternoons.  Enjoy the combo swells that are backing off in the water right now.  Mornings will be best, with lighter winds.  Moderate onshore flow in the afternoons, but spots in town should stay well protected.  Variations of the small combo swell to continue through the week, with possibly larger combo swell to build through the weekend, and a moderate sized north west ground swell peaking late Sunday.  Looks like a fun week of surf.  Almost too much fun.  So yeah, get out and enjoy what is on offer.  It looks like a great week.

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Big Dipper.

Not so much the roller coaster, and more the warmth. Or, perhaps, I should be saying WOW!  What a weekend we just had.  And a Friday.  Stellar, stellar weather.  As long as you don't mind the heat, or spent a few hours at the beach, it was pretty damn nice. Did not het a whole lot of yard work done this weekend, but I did log a little water time, and beach time, and family time.  Even collected a little bit of wood in the mountains.  But all of that is about to change very soon.  One could even see the marine layer developing in the bay and off shore during the day today.  So, yeah, it ain't gonna be so super hot on Monday,  Just in the low 80s.  Any fog that does move onshore tonight is going to burn off nice and early.  But as we go through the week, things will chill down. Until they begin to heat back up.  Yeah, autumn is tough around here.

Reflections.  Red Cliffs.  


So, as we move into Monday night, a real fog layer should develop, but the slight north winds will blow that out fairly early.  Highs should reach in the upper 70s on Tuesday, and barely to 75F on Wednesday.  Oh, so cold.  But, them things begin to rebound, and by Saturday, we could be seeing that warm high pressure building us back into the 80s.  Maybe.  As it looks now, next week could have a number of hot days.  And remember that wet storm for mid month?  Back in the line, but hitting around the 18th.  So yeah, we might even get some rain.  Who knows?  Not me, but I will be watching closely, and reporting here.  Hope you had a good weekend, and spent some time outside.  Or even scored a few waves.  Speaking of which, combo swell continues to start the week.  So, go get some, and enjoy one last morning of sunshine.  For the time being

Friday, October 3, 2014

Chicken Fricken Hot.

97F in my driveway at 4PM today.  Sure, we are in a nice toasty corner of the city, but that is extra toasty.  What a gorgeous morning it was.  Expect more of the same tomorrow.  Throw in some glassy long period combo surf, and if you ask me, this is about as good as it gets.  So loving this fine start to fall.  If you don't love this stuff, or live in Salinas, or even Felton, and can't get up to that ocean edge, then you might prefer the latter part of the weekend.  No big changes in today's report.  Just a reminder to drink plenty of fluids, and make plans for a beach day.  Sunday will be not as hot.  Monday will be fine.  Tuesday it looks like the marine layer will return.  But not much of a gradient, so still kind of a shift to fall.  Temps in the mid 70s by Tuesday.  Might see another warm spell developing Friday and for next weekend.  No rain in sight.  Stay tuned for details.



Doubt any of that snow that fell last week is lasting in the mountains.  Near Kirkwood, California.

Thursday, October 2, 2014

Drink water, there are signs of fall. And, yeah, even the NWS is coming around to the hotness.

NWS is calling for a high of 89F here on the westside today.  94F for Friday, and 91F.  Yeah.  And with light winds, and low humidity, that will feel pretty darn nice.  Down on the beaches, expect things a bit cooler, as it still looks like a very light onshore flow will develop in the heat of the day.  Late mornings will be pretty much awesome at the beaches, with the afternoons barely recording a half notch below.  Next few days look might nice.  More onshore flow develops from the NW on Sunday, and we will be noticeably cooler.  By Tuesday, we could see more of a summer time set up developing, bringing back cloud cover, fog, and perhaps drizzle.  Or, we could be lucky to see the ridge keep out the moisture, and more fall like weather continue.  But without the heat.


More jumpers.


Overall, things are looking like autumn around the state.  High are close in the valley and on the coast.  Santa Cruz will be warmer than Stockton this weekend.  But just by a bit.  The mountains are cooler, with highs at 8000 feet topping out in the 60s.  Lake Tahoe will be in the 70s.  And the NWS only issued Heat Advisories for the counties west of I-5.  Coastal, and near coastal counties, with the interior valley barely on the register.  All signs of fall.  Not summer like at all.  So, yeah, based on that, things are making a shift, and it will be more difficult to revert to summer like conditions.  Yay!

Still, our little fun with a heat wave ends Sunday.  Monday at the latest.  Very nice weather to continue.  Warm, not hot.  That big rainmaker that was on the fantasy charts for mid month is on today's run a huge bubble of a high.  So things are dynamic and far from confident.  Now to get ready to play outside.  Pretty hot out there already.