Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Some Quick Interruptions in the Fair Weather. Warming Trend??

At little cloud clearing early on this morning, and some good sun was had.  A bit warmer than it has been as well.  That trend looks to continue, but we do have some chances for rain in the next few days.  Thursday afternoon it looks like a lot of moisture is going to come into the coast by the California/ Oregon boarder.  Bands of precipitation may spread as far south as the Bay Area, similar to yesterday.  The difference is the next storm is much wetter, and further north,  Of course, greater likelihood for Marin and points north for heavy rains with this one.  Friday clears and another system swings just to our north on Saturday.  Most likely we will will just see passing clouds and high humidity with that one.

The Crest saw between 1-3" of new snow from Tuesday's rain.  Thursday's system may drop another 2-4" of snow above 7000'.  Higher freezing levels, and very minimal snow are expected on Saturday.  All, in all, it is a nice fresh coating, but those amounts sound more like Colorado than California.  We will need to wait until the end of the month before we see any significant snow and a return to soft pack conditions.

Yup, that means continued mild and fair weather.  It may even warm up.  First bump in temperatures have already begun.  You may have noticed this morning was not literally freezing.  Over night lows increase from 32F (last Monday) to 44F tomorrow.  High temperatures will take longer to increase, but my guess is that early next weekend could be quite nice.  Bring on a super holiday.

We will continue to watch the MJO to see if it continues to move west.  Until then, expect a solid blocking high settling off the California coast and pushing any significant weather far to our north.  Seattle and BC may get pummeled, but not us.  Get you dry dock jobs done now.  For instance, you may want to clean those rain gutters.  We have had a lot of wind since the first rains, and autumn, combined with sediment settling this past week, may be clogging you up.  Or get out for a hike.  Plant some greens.  Get on the bike.  Because, when this next one comes in - if this winter has any pattern to it, we could get another heavy soaking.  Some time around the 25th we should see a change.

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