One more day of super gloom, and then slight improvement.

I mean, at least it won't be cold.  We saw the drizzle this morning, packed the car and headed to Happy Hollow to enjoy some warmth.  When we hit the summit, my son yelled out, "sunshine."  Because there it was.  Just on the other side of the hill.  Santa Cruz was socked in and wet through the morning.  Low fog pulled out around noon to reveal high fog.  And it was chilly.  Just about 62F at 2PM.  Don't think it got much warmer than that.  I even went to work in the yard with a flannel on today.  Expect more of the same tomorrow, although it might be a slight bit warmer and a slight bit dryer.  As we move toward the weekend, we might start to see bits of the sun.  And we could see ourselves move into the mid 70s as the inland empire begins their late summer bake off.  It sure is good to live on the coast, even if we need to deal with a little bit of grey now and again.



While the weather is only looking to get a touch better, we are expecting some of the best surf since the first week of August to start showing up late Wednesday.  That is not saying much as it as been so flat recently.  A SSW and a WNW should both begin showing around the same time.  The good news is that the light

Shorebreak.  Wells Beach.  Read more about it at Wave Stoke.

south flow that allows the fog to wallow, is the same condition that gives us nice glassy conditions up and down the coast.  The ample crowds that will converge on the surf starting Thursday and into the weekend will at least be able to spread out a bit.  Find your best combo spot, and mind the afternoon high tide and you should do well in finding some fun surf.  By Saturday, we may start to see the start of a northwest flow, so it will likely be breezy by afternoon.  It also means we should begin seeing some building wind swell.

Long term we see another storm rolling through the northern Gulf, but after that it looks like things will slow down as the MJO moves into the inactive phase.  But they are not quite going to sleep, as Ma Nature seems to want to hold onto a autumn like condition.  Mid month low pressure retrogrades onto the Gulf.  Broad and weak, it won't do much for the surf.  Or bring rain for that matter.  But it is not typical summer weather.  And broad, weak low pressure seems to take one form or another through much of the month.  Granted, these are poor long term models, but it is significant that they suggest a progressive pattern even through and inactive MJO.  The snow prognosticators say it is gonna be a long and warm fall with snow hitting us in late December.  Sounds good to me.  I've got a lot of projects going.  Let's just get rid of the fog first.  Maybe next week.