Sunday, October 20, 2013

A touch of summer for the next few days.

That may sound like good news, but if you think about, summer kind of blows around here.  Okay, that is a bit harsh, but summer in October is the pits.  Cold, foggy mornings are on tap for the next few days.  And even when that sun does come out, it will be low in the sky and the warm up will be weak, and brief.  NOAA is still calling for a high of about 70F for the next few days, but I will be happy if we see much more than mid 60s.  But this will not last long, so hunker down, get some work done and enjoy the afternoons.  Here is how it will all break down.

I've been enjoying this guy at 4 Mile Beach.  One of the moments I wish for a cloudy sky.


That marine layer is low and thick this Sunday morning.  With a bit of luck, it will begin to break up around noon as the interior warms up and a sea breeze develops.  This sea breeze is on the weaker side, so some areas may not see the fog blow out.  Once the sun does come out, it will feel much warmer and might, just might reach up to 70F.  But if you are near the ocean, it will remain quite chill.  Monday and Tuesday it looks like we will be seeing more of the same.  By Wednesday, high pressure begins to nose in and we could return to more typical fall weather with clear, crisp mornings and the daily highs moving back up into the low and mid 70s.  Probably a bigger change will be how things will start to warm up earlier in the day, so you will not need to wear your puffy until noon thirty.  By Saturday things are looking pretty nice again, but don't expect the mid 80s we saw on Wednesday.  But you can always keep on hoping.  It is not winter time yet.

Speaking of which, those storms modeled for the west coast have fizzled out.  Good news.  Up in the PNW they may still get rain, but as of now it looks like the cut off low will hang out to our west and slowly dissipate over the open waters.  Good news.  I'm still hoping, and needing, the rainy season to hold off for another month or two.  Lots of work going on around the house.  But here is the big news for the week.  By late Monday morning the coast line will start seeing the impact of a long period north west swell that was generated by a healthy extra tropical storm near the date line.  Now this things is not going to be huge by any means, but it will still be a healthy swell.  This is almost more dangerous for beach goers and on lookers, as you will not see the swells approaching from well off shore.  Ranging from 2 to 6 feet of deep water swell, but with periods initially in excess of 22 seconds, these things will still travel well up cliff lines, over rocks and into area beaches and coves.  Use caution and keep an eye on the ocean over the next few days.  Don't be that guy we hear about on the news who went inadvertently for a swim in the Pacific.  On the other hand, it will be opening day for winter surf in town and of a moderate size to boot.  If you want some, go get it.  Forerunners on Monday, with a peak late Tuesday.  And winds look light up the coast if you feel the need for a little more juice.

In short, foggy mornings for the next few days.  No rain.  Sunny mornings later in the week, with mild temperatures.  Perfect weather for surfing, or biking, or apple picking, or pumpkin patching or whatever.  Check back here for updates.

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