Dry.

Several local fires this past week.  First we saw the Rincon Fire near Paradise Park at the base of Route 9.  That fire began Saturday night, and smoke was heavy on the lower westside Sunday and Monday mornings, as the air flow was out of the San Lorenzo valley.  I was less noticeable later in the day.  The fire has burned 17 acres and is currently 76% contained.  Then this morning, a fire began across Route 9 in the Pogonip, just downhill from the clubhouse.  That fire was a little over 3.5 acres and completely contained at this time.  It is expected to continue to smolder for a few days, as the roots underground continue to burn.  It is dry out there.  Please be careful and please don't set fires on purpose.  Reports are coming out that the second fire may have been arson.

It is also cold at night.  Tie Gulch had temps less than 40F for over 8 hours last nights.  The gauge at King and Van Ness dropped below 37F in the early morning hours.  Closer to the water, there were a few warm spots, cooling only into the mid 40s.  But is was crisp out there this morning.  Expect that again tomorrow morning, and while we warm up a little later in the week, overnight temps remain quite cool and in the 40s.  This may effect those who still have summer vegetables going (such as tomatoes and beans) as buds may drop, or not even form, in cold overnight temps.

On the other hand, the days are quite nice.  Mid to upper 70s in the better spots today.  78.7F on the upper westside today.  77F on King Street.  72.5F on the wharf (which was down to 46.2 early this morning).  We could see a little warming over the next two days.  Maybe even hit 80F up on the UC campus.  Then we see them drop in to the low to mid 70s for Sunday and beyond.  By Monday, we are looking at a 44F/71F spread for the week ahead.

Winds have been summer like out on the ocean recently.  They were strong at 11AM today.  Those are likely to back off the next few days, shift more north and even northeasterly.  By late in the weekend, we should see pretty light winds.  It looks lie autumn weather Monday and Tuesday.  After that, we could see some warming again, and perhaps another wind gradient forming late in the week. All this wind and little to no surf.  The NPAC wave making machine is still not in full swing.

All in all, things look dry 10 days out.  GFS toys with some chances of rain beyond that, but these models have not been on point recently.  If any thing, they toy with rain, and then pull back.  Slow start to the rainy season. At least the storms begin forming in the Gulf again this weekend.  I'll be watching and waiting.  Still have about 6 hours of work I need to complete before the rain comes. Well, more than that, but 6 puts me in a good spot.  And we could use that rain.  Too dry right now.