Monday, November 19, 2018

Timing.

I've missed the last few morning, but I'll be up for sunrise tomorrow.  Expecting it to be chilly and beautiful. Tuesday is our transition day.  It will begin like today, with more haze.  Ugh.  Thankfully to coming weather should dampen the fire as well as clear out this smoke.  Winds shift out of the southwest during the morning and pick up in speed late.  Clouds fill in through the day.  Rain will arrive in the early morning hours of Wednesday.  It will be heavy at times through mid afternoon, with about a half inching town and 1.5" in the favorable spots in the local mountains.  Some decent winds with this one as well.  Nothing super wet or super windy, but decent amounts.  Like a real honest to goodness rain storm.  The cloud cover will keep it warm Wednesday night, near 50F.  Colder air moves in behind the storm early Thursday morning.  And a little break from the rain.

Thanksgiving morning will be cloudy, and cool, in the upper 40s, and perhaps with a drizzle.  By mid day, another storm is going to be moving in.  Mostly light through the day, and picking up near night fall.  High in the low 60s.  Low in the upper 40s.  Rain through the night, moderate at times.  The Euro has this storm much further south than the GFS, so it could turn out we see heavy rain.  But as of now, looking at the GFS, we are seeing only moderate amounts of rain, likely removing under an inch in the mountains and perhaps a third inching town.  Regardless, it will be wet.

The heaviest rain from the second storm looks to be before sunrise Friday, but rain persist through much of the day, off and on.  Tapering in the evening and ceasing after dark.  The weekend looks sunny and warmer.  Saturday morning will have the most clouds, but high pressure moves in and clears things out quickly.  West winds return with that building pressure.

Looking out at the fantasy charts, more storms for the middle of next week possible.  For now, drive carefully, and leave early.  Roads will be very wet Wednesday, for the first time in many months.  Oil will surface, and make slicks. If driving to elevation, expect snow, and be prepared, above 6800 feet.  Have a great holiday, eat some bird, and check back here for updates.

No comments:

Post a Comment