Monday, November 26, 2018

More Rain.

It could be a wet December.  Still, et us finish up November first.  Month to date in Santa Cruz at De Laveaga is 2.32 inches.  That is about a half inch behind last season and a full inch behind 2015.  It looks like we might surpass both of those years.  What a come back for November which was completely dry up until last Wednesday.  We have two storms coming at us this work week.  Today, Monday will be mostly sunny.  It was cold out there this morning.  41F at King and Van Ness.  60F as of 9:40AM.  I expect a high of about 70F in the warmer locations of town.  Light winds.

Tuesday begins mostly sunny, but clouds fill in through the day.  It will be a bit cooler, maybe 65F.  Winds will shift to southerly mid day, and we could see light rain before sunset.  Rain continues overnight. with perhaps a half inch here in town.  Rain cuts off in the very early morning hours Wednesday.  Cloud cover keeps us warm, around 50F.  Looks like we could have a break during the morning commute.  Then a second storm is hot on the tails of the first.

The 12h GFS suggest rain starting and ending a little later.  More like from midnight through noon Wednesday.  It is also looking a little further north, so maybe lighter amounts of rain.  It comes in south of us.  Big Sur could get some heavy rain late Wednesday.  Overnight we see heavier rain in Santa Cruz, lasting into the day Thursday.  Over one inch of rain in town.  Maybe even two.  More in the mountains.  We will see rain and clouds break overnight, cooling to the mid 40s.  Colder air is in place Friday.  Clouds should stick around through much of the day, as we see another system arrive late Friday night.  Not so sure about storm #3, as only the GFS is showing it, but it will be a cold one if it comes through.  A little less wet.  Perhaps 3/4 of an inchSaturday and 1/4 inch on Sunday.

We are looking at a total of over 4 inches of rain locally over the next seven days.  Hope you are prepared for plenty of rain and some run off.  We could see some minor flooding Thursday into Friday morning.

It looks like high pressure returns the following week.  Long term, we could be back into storm systems for the weekend of the 8th.


No comments:

Post a Comment