Thursday, November 1, 2018

November Too.

First day of November was pretty stellar.  Light winds, and a high of 83F on King Street.  Much of town was in the upper 70s and low 80s today.  It was only in the 80s at King and Van Ness for a little over an hour today, but it was above 70F from 10:45 until 6:15 this evening.  Yeah, as the sun was setting, it was still in the 70s.  In November.  Awesome.  Expect more of the same tomorrow, although that NW wind should kick up more in the afternoon.

Paddling under the Chateau de Chenonceau.


Basically the next two days will be quite warm.  As we move toward Sunday, we begin a cooler trend.  Lows could move back down into the upper 40s, with highs just about 70F.  Sun abounds.  Not really a marine layer, but we could see some clouds overnight Friday through early next week.  We see an almost summertime pattern setting up Sunday through Tuesday next week, with very strong NW winds in the afternoons.  Wind swell will be on the way up.  Which is good news, as there is not really much other surf to speak of.  All that mix of south and North Pacific energy is finally coming to an end.  We could see a bump of NW middle of next week, but nothing to write home about.

The big news right now is that we see rain on the 10 day forecast.  Yup.  Not that I will give much credence to any forecast 10 days out, especially during shoulder season.  But it is in there.  After several days of not much storm activity in the NPAC, a tight strong low pressure is forecast to develop in the eastern Gulf of Alaska next Friday/Saturday.  So, that is already 8/9 days out.  That storm then will move south very quickly and stall offshore of San Francisco.  This would result in light to moderate rains for the region on Sunday and Monday.  The storm finally moves ashore Monday and inland on Tuesday.  This is November 12th we are talking about.  As it stands now, we could see over an inch of rain, so start your planning if you have any open projects.  I'll monitor this in the coming week.  Who knows, the entire thing could miss us.

The GFS is not calling for a pattern change.  More of a one and done kind of system.  High pressure sets up behind the system, and we might see ourselves back into a pattern like the past two weeks.  Warm and gorgeous.  Speaking of gorgeous, I hoe you've been enjoying the sunsets.  They have been wonderful.  As with the sunrise.  Get some.

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