Saturday, February 23, 2019

And Keeps On Giving.

Cold weather through the middle of next week.  Storms likely stay north through then as well.  I did not post much last week as I was in the Sierra sampling the snowpack.  I can attest it is deep and has a great surface for schussing.  From what I hear, plenty of other people were out today sampling that same snow pack.  I prefer doing it during the week, and during the storms.  Kirkwood was a ghost town much of last week.  Wednesday was especially quiet, with a nice southwest flow, and fresh fluff falling.  One of those days that just gets better with every lift.  And it was cold.  In the teens.  Still is chilly, as it was down here.  We were in the upper 50s much of today, but with that cold breeze, it did feel a bit cooler.  Temps are in the upper 40s now and will drop to about 40F overnight.  Sunday should be chilly, in the upper 50s, with cloud cover developing through late morning.

Corey Lochan and Deadwood Peak, caked in cold snow.  We have water.  More is coming. 


Then things get interesting.  And here is where I back track just a bit.  See, there is a storm coming.  Perhaps even an Atmospheric River. When and where is not exactly certain.  But I'll walk you through the 18Z GFS.  Tomorrow the rain will be well to our north; enough so that we don't have any chance of it falling here.  By Monday, the stream of moisture coming off the Pacific will be in the northern portion of California.  We could see some light rain here late in the day, but at this point, that is not looking likely.  It will remain chilly, in the 50s, on Monday. Monday night and Tuesday, we continue to see the rain system move south, but we are still expected to be on the southern fringe. Maybe we are looking at a half inch of rain by Tuesday dusk.  Of course, this could increase with a sight southerly shift.  It will be raining hard just to our north.  An inch or two every twelve hours.  It will be a bit warmer Tuesday, as SW flow ushers in warmer air.

Tuesday night is when we get hit.  About an inch of rain over night, and almost as much on Wednesday.  It will be another heavy rainfall. While it will be over a week since the last rainfall, this one will add a lot of water to a still saturated ground.  Plan of some commuting delays Wednesday.  The air will continue to warm, and we will be in the low 60s. Things settle down over night, and by Thursday we will be in the wake of the storm.  It will be the warmest day of the week, in the ow 60s. It may also me one of the nicest, and just a short break before another system arrives for the weekend.  This one looks colder, but not as cold as the last three weeks.  Update  on that as we get closer.

For now, enjoy the fine weather this weekend and maybe early Monday.  Storm arrives by Tuesday, and rages into Wednesday morning.  A break Thursday and more rain possible for next weekend.

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