Thursday, February 28, 2019

Crazy Pattern.

Well, we have more rain on the way.  I'll be not going out on a limb and suggesting we saw records for the month of February across much of the region.  Perhaps we can take a look at that tomorrow.  For now, get out there on Friday and enjoy the sun in the morning.  Should be a nice day.  Starts off cool, in the low 40s.  Might even break 60F across most of town.  Upper 50s to low 60s were recorded as highs on the west side today. Those higher readings are spot that were getting sunshine in the middle of the day. Just over a third inch of rain was recorded with this storm.  That is a lot less than the one plus inch I forecasted here, and way way less than what NOAA was calling for (up to three) or NPR (3-5" in town and 6-10" in the Santa Cruz Mountains).  Needless to say, this system way under performed.  And that worked out just fine with us.  More time for the earth to absorb, drain and heal.  Plenty of areas in the state are flooding right now.  The road into Pescardero would be an example.

Chocking on powder.  Kirkwood.  February 2019.


Light winds, moderate swell and sunshine in Friday make for some decent surf early. Late in the day the winds shift south, and by evening we could see the first drops of rain.  It looks like a decent night of rain, with a half inch likely overnight, with temps in the mid 40s..  Rain backs off quickly on Saturday morning, and it should be just sporadic showers by afternoon.  We see a slight chance of showers into Sunday, but I doubt we get more than a sprinkle after Saturday morning.  This system is fairly warm, and overnight lows move into the low 50s by Saturday night.  Afternoon highs in the upper 50s over the weekend.

Monday looks like another nice day, with some sunshine, and warming temps.  More storms are set to run through middle of next week. As of now it looks like a decent storm Tuesday night, with showers into Thursday. What is really interesting is we have a storm on the charts every few days over the next 16 days.  Yes, much of that is fantasy charts, but interesting none the less.  This aligns with a trough forecast along the west coast through the period, so yes, we could be in for a long run of moderately wet weather.

Vail just announced they will keep their Tahoe resorts open one extra week due to the deep snow pack.  Cool.  Squaw and Mammoth will be open until 4th of July, so there is really no contest there.  This will be a great year to enjoy some late spring skiing, as the snow pack in excellent shape, and over ten feet deep. That means there will be a lot of it around until the summer.  In my opinion, it is some of the best snow sliding of the year.  Just remember that sunblock.

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