Friday, February 8, 2019

More Rain And Local Snow.

Yesterday was pretty damn nice.  Crisp, for the most part, but that sun sure felt warm after another morning with lows around 32F.  This morning is a touch warmer, as the next system is bringing in warmer air in front of it.  About 40F just before sunrise.  We wake to a mostly cloudy sky.  There was a short drizzle last night, but it looks like the rain will hold off for at least a few hours today.  GFS still suggesting rain will hold off until evening, but NOAA, which uses the GFS for their forecast, suggest rain before noon.  I think we could see some showery weather today, but the rain storm comes around sunset.  It could moderate to heavy at times this evening, and then returning to showers by sunrise Saturday.  Looking at about 3/4" of rain by then, and a low of around 42F, which puts the freezing level just above 3000 feet.

This weekend looks slightly wet.  Showers could persist through the entire weekend, as a second storm dives down from the north, just barely to our east.  That will increase precipitation rates Saturday night, into Sunday morning.  Showers back off Sunday afternoon, with a slight chance for light rain Sunday night.  Freezing levels are expected to drop back down to about 1200' on Sunday night, so another dusting of the local peaks is likely for viewing on Monday morning.

If you look at our mid endlong range forecast, it is pretty damn wet.  Chance of rain or showers every day for the next ten days.  The big news here is that a storm dropping from the north, bringing cold air, might interact with a subtropical, and warm moisture feed coming off the Pacific around the middle of next week.  The GFS the last few runs have suggested Armageddon.  It backed off from that a good deal with the 06z run today, but we could see a lot of rain middle to end of next week.  Check back here and other sources to stay prepared.  Travel in the local mountains could be quite treacherous at times. Getting to the Sierra could be seriously delayed.

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