|Siena in the morning.|
Basically we in the short term we are still expecting a low to develop in the north eastern Gulf of Alaska. In fact, a weak, broad one is already there. But a deeper one if developing north of there, and is expected to hang out through the middle of next week. In fact, that is what is to suppress our warming temps under this high pressure. By day ten, we are looking at a more normalized August condition, with a strong high pressure occupying much of the Gulf of Alaska and ridging strong into California.
What might not be so normal are the three tropical systems forecast to be surround Hawaii at that time. One to the west, one the north and one the east. As we move through day 16, as in the fantasy forecast, the two eastern most systems begin to drift NNE. One begins to interact with energy from the north and goes extra tropical. The other tracks toward California for a few days before getting absorbed into the strengthening system fueled by the first storm. And then suddenly, it looks like a strong fall pattern. Could the NPAC get energized in the next two weeks? Something to watch.