On Track.

Okay.  Sorry about the lack of actual posting last night.  I did not realize the page was frozen off line.  Anyway, forecast for this week looks like it was pretty on  A few changes below.  A decent day out there today with a moderate north east breeze on the bay.  Cool right now.  Just about 50F out at 10AM.  No real swell out there.  Kind of more of the same tomorrow.  NOAA is still calling for a chance of rain on Wednesday, but the GFS noon run today has it holding off until after midnight, or the early morning hours of Thursday.  Regardless, clouds for Wednesday and temps topping in the mid 60s.  I'd be ready for some periods of rain during the day or early evening, but the bulk comes late.  Winds increase from the south all day and could be quite gusty in the evening out of the south west.  Top gust could hit 25 or more miles per hour.  Make sure things are buckled down.

Total rainfall forecasts for our region have increased, even though the storm path has shifted north.  It looks like a southern flank will swing right into us, getting some orographic assist.  Best guess for heaviest rain is from 3AM through 10AM.  Rain event could last through the day and evening on Thursday.  I guess another change from yesterday'd forecast is the burst of heavy early morning rain, but ultimately a shorter period of rain.  Plan for about a quarter inch plus in the morning, with totals of up to three quarters of an inch in town.  An inch plus in the mountains, with some localities getting a good bit more.  It seems like NOAA and the GFS have come in tune with each other this morning.

Best bet is for clearing Thursday overnight.  Some clouds on Friday.  Low 60s.  Cool weather for the weekend.  Lows in the 40s and highs in the low 60s.  But it should be mostly sunny.

The forecast for next week has us getting hit pretty hard with a storm Monday evening.  A swift moving gale.  We could see an inch or more overnight.  Still a ways off, but this could be a solid storm.  Long term the next storm stays well north as high pressure increases.  We could be back into fair, and warming weather, through the latter half of the month.  More to come.