The Euro.

I awoke last night around 3AM to the pat pat pat of rain on a sun roof.  This morning, on the deck, I was sure the Euro model was the big winner, bringing in the storm earlier and wetter.  Or so it seemed.  Nearly a third of an inch fell between 2:30 and 3:45, and again from 7:45 to 8:45 this morning. Two separate hour or so long bursts.  Then nothing.  All day and evening.  There is a bunch of rain falling well north of Sacramento right now.  And some just came off the bay.  I was seeing it approach on radar, but out the window, seemed to clear up, and then it was raining.  Didn't last long, but it was a heavy two minutes of rain.  Looks clear out the window all the way across the bay and on the radar as well.  Still, expect more rain tonight.  GFS still has us getting another few tenths of an inch before midnight Saturday.

This storm looked like it had a big sub tropical moisture stream up until a few days ago. Now it is looking like a decent few days.  Today would have been wonderful for a walk under the redwoods.  Fall Creek will have a bit more flow tomorrow.  Rain is still possible.  Looks like it is most likely over night and into the morning hours.  But showers could come at any time.  Like that two minute downpour a few minutes ago.

Sunday is looking better and better each model run, and while moisture is still around into Monday, we should be rain free through mid day Wednesday.  Then we have another system to take a look at. And then another after that still.  We are in an active pattern.