Thursday, November 16, 2017

Southern Side of AR.

This morning the southern side of the AR has shifted over our town.  Not that much rain recorded yet on the west side.  A few tenths of an inch.  Less than a quarter inch as of 9:30 this morning.  Almost two inches in parts of the Santa Cruz Mountains.  Areas north of us have also seen a fair amount of rain so far, with Daly City and San Francisco reporting over an inch or rain since midnight.  And they had nearly a third of an inch yesterday, compared to our several hundredths of an inch.  Misty out there, as I type.  There is still a good push of rain to come, as the main stream of the AR pushes over us later this afternoon.  Thing is, as it pushes over us, the feed also dies off.  But we will still get a good rainfall from the combination with the storm pushing it south.  So yeah.  More rain, and wind today.  In fact, through Friday noon, the GFS puts a bullseye of over three inches in the mountains out our backdoor.  That is a lot more rain to come.

Expect rain to get heavy as the day wears on.  Late in the afternoon and early evening still looks like the heaviest period.  New to the forecast is rain sticking around a bit more after midnight, so it looks like your Friday morning commute could still be a wet one.  With several inches of water haven fallen in the past day.

I'll update this page later today with now cast for the storm.  Love watching this thing from my window.  I can see the clouds streaming across the sky.  I love getting a slight glimpse of Monterey before clouds shroud it again.

9PM UPDATE:  Gonna be quick.  AR is now gone, and essentially would be south of us.  It will pump in some rain to Big Sur, but this system is winding down quick.  We could still see some showers overnight, but those look rare.  Temps are still in the upper 50s, so it is warm.  We got almost an inch here on the Westside, 1.45" in SF, and in the Santa Cruz Mountains, at Love Creek, the gauge busted at 2.38" at 10AM.  So we can assume more rain fell there later in the day.

Expect sun tomorrow.  Maybe even by morning.  Warming trend.  Could be fine weather for the holiday week, with even 70F possible.

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