Wednesday, November 16, 2011

1,2,3. Winter Weather Advisory is in effect.

Harbor light, late in the day.  Seabright Beach, Santa Cruz
Three storms lining up out in the Pacific to come into our neighborhood.  Are you excited about that or what?  Hopefully after this line up we see a return to some more placid weather for the first half of December.  Of course, time is what will tell.  For now, be prepared for a week of off and on rain.  Heavy at times.  Today was quite nice, and we should see more of the same for Thursday, albeit a slight bit cooler, and windy by afternoon.  Clouds roll in through the evening.  Then things get pretty consistent with the rain and cold.



Friday looks likely to start off with a bit of rain, although it may hold off until mid day.  In fact, I think it will (but that is what I said last week).  Regardless, rain will come in at some point on Friday.  And cold along with it, with highs struggling to reach 60 along the coast.  It will be even colder as you head up into the coastal mountains, with freezing levels dipping down below 3000 feet.  By Saturday morning, we could see some snow topped mountains along the high peaks around the bay.  Saturday should clear up, but it is going to start off real cold.  Not a whole lot of moisture with this one.  Maybe a half inch of rain down here, and a foot of snow (thanks to those cold temps) along the crest.

So that is number one.  Number two is close behind, and will move in through the evening on Saturday. This one is to track south just like last week's storm.  So real wet along the coast, but not much making its way toward Tahoe.  Maybe an inch of snow up there.  We should see a fast moving storm, with close to 3/4 of an inch falling over night.  If we are lucky, this thing will keep on trucking to our south, and Sunday will see clearing weather.  But is this thing slows down even just a bit, rain will start later and continue through the day on Wednesday.

Redwood canopy in the Pogonip, Santa Cruz.

Monday and Tuesday see mostly sun, and crisp weather.  Hello fall.  Might get a few good cold mornings.  If you are in an area prone to frost, keep an eye out.  Right now it looks cold, but not quite freezing.  Then along comes number three.  Just in time to make some fun for the holiday.  We are still a week out, so this is just chit chat, but what looks like a large, strong, wet and warm storm may come our way.  This is what we will need to really get those ski resorts up and running.  Timing currently looks like rain starts for the north bay mid day Wednesday and spreads south to Monterey by late evening.  Snow begins in the mountains around sunset, and continues through Thanksgiving.  Everywhere looks stormy for Thursday.  On the plus side, high pressure ridges in on Friday and through the rest of the weekend.  Could be a great weekend and some great skiing.  Or not.  Check back here for updates.

So it is easy.  Thursday, nice. Friday, rain.  Saturday, nice morning, rain late.  Sunday, rain morning, nice late.  Monday & Tuesday, nice.  The rain after that.

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