The NWS and GFS disagree as to when, but both concur that Rain is Coming.

More fine weather along West Cliff Drive.  

I tend to lean a bit toward the GFS and assume that the NWS is hedging its bets.  Better to claim rain and get a bit of prolonged sun, that vice versa.  They both pretty much agree that the brunt of this system is coming on Friday.  NWS gives about an 80% chance of rain coming overnight on Thursday.  The GFS hold off until Friday afternoon.  GFS concentrates the storm into about a 18 hour period, whereas NWS predicts showery weather, even persisting into the weekend.  What this tells us is that the models are having a hard settling on a solution for the storm track over the next few days.  Be prepared for a wet Thursday evening commute, but don't complain if Friday morning is pleasant.


Today was pretty nice out there.  Not hot, but warm in the sun.  And cool in the shade.  Very autumn.  Short term is a mess.  Thursday will begin quite nice.  Rain may show in the afternoon.  At the very least, some clouds will fill in.  Friday looks to be mostly rainy.  Most likely we will either begin clear and have heavy rain late in the day or, if rain starts early, things will be more showery in nature.  The weekend looks like a clearing trend, with the possibility of no to little rain.