Thursday, November 10, 2011

Thursday morning update. Good news. Storm tracking south.

Are these sky shots getting boring?  I've just been loving the clouds.  West Cliff.
This morning broke with another amazing sunrise.  Not quite a double rainbow quality, but edging near.  You need to be up and ready to enjoy them, as they come and go so quickly.  A partly cloudy sky was perhaps what made it so beautiful earlier.  Currently we have a variety of clouds up there, but there is still plenty of blue.  And there is more good news, as the models shift the storm track further to our south.  The Bay Area is now expecting only a half inch of rain or less.  Most of that falling Friday.  Even the NWS has significantly decreased their precipitation forecast.  Using their numbers, 20% chance tonight, and 60% during the day Friday - for showers.  By Saturday the forecast is back down to 20% chance.


Temperatures are to remain the same, with low 60s for Santa Cruz as a high and mid 40s for a low.  It will be a little chillier in Scotts Valley and other locales in the Santa Cruz mountains.  By Sunday, we should return to a mostly sunny sky.  The same for Monday.  Long term, we are looking a similar weather through the first half of next week, with another storm possible for the weekend before Thanksgiving.  Perhaps we will have snow to open the resorts on Turkey Day.  At the very least, we are having an interesting November for weather.  I mean, seriously.  The east coast has a hurricane and a snow storm brewing at the same time.  Glad I'm in California.

Edit.  Most recent model runs really have this thing headed south.  San Diego and Baja get the brunt, and we barely see it.  Late Friday showers could be all we see, and then some lingering moisture on Saturday.  Sunday's wave looks to be way north and east of us.  Could be just enough weather  to give us epic sunrises and sunsets.

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