Saturday, November 19, 2011

Get out and play this morning. More rain to come.

Again, the models and forecast all have different opinions about what will happen next.  It sure would be nice if the weather were just a bit more predictable.  But, if you are hoping to enjoy some outdoor activities this weekend, I suggest you get out there this morning.  It was another spectacular sunrise this morning.  Up in the mountains, Heavenly reported one inch of new snow, and Northstar got seven inches.  Both are open for some WROD skiing this weekend.  Down here on the coast, we have a cool morning and large waves.  This is the first significant swell to hit us in several weeks, so plenty of folks are excited about getting in the water.  Be careful, as this thing is pretty wild and raw.

The Giant Dipper and Ferris Wheel, Santa Cruz Boardwalk.

So, as I said, this morning should be nice out there.  Cool and crisp, but a great morning for a run, bike or walk.  Classic fall weather.  By later in the day, clouds will be filling back in, and at some point we could see the rain.  This next storm is mostly hanging out just off the coast.  The heaviest rain will be in the eastern quadrant, so when it touches down on the coast, things could get quite wet.  It all depends on where and when.   Still, expect rain starting this evening and overnight.  Or not until some time on Sunday.  My favorite model has this thing staying completely off shore until it is well south of us.  In this scenario, we only see a little bit of light showers from the wrap around, later on Sunday.  So that could lend us another great morning.  But don't count on it.  Get out there today.

(EDIT:  Today's models has this thing trending east.  We could get hit with a steady rain for Sunday.)

Morning November sky.  Stuff like this make getting out of bed easy.

Ridging returns for Monday and Tuesday.  Next week's storm is still up in the air.  We will get to that more, as we get closer.  And if you surf, today's large and raw swell will slowly subside today and through the first have of next week.  And by tomorrow, we should see south east winds setting up over the region, giving off shores to the right spots.  Go out and get some.

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