Tuesday morning. Cold on tap.

More autumn weather along West Cliff Drive, south looking at Lighthouse Point

Man, this cold air does not want to budge.  Frost warnings were around again last night, and will be posted again tonight.  Not as cold as this past Saturday morning, so if you did not get hit then, you probably won't get that cold this time.  The day started sunny, so things should warm up a bit.  Ahead of the next system, warm southern air gets drawn to us.  Wednesday and likely Thursday will be in the high 60s to around 70F.


This morning's model run suggest this thing is only going to clip up here in the Bay Region, on its way to  Los Angeles.   They will get the bulk of the rain, and duration of this storm.  That is not to say that we remain unscathed.  We should get a pretty good dose of rain Friday evening, into Saturday morning.  Still looking at around an inch of precipitation.  Two plus for areas south of SLO.  Big Sur could be a mess this weekend.  The Santa Barbara mountains could see over 3.5 inches.  So this thing is wet, but moves pretty fast through our region.  Saturday sees clearing, but weak bands of moistures should continue to move through perhaps all weekend.  Still, expect mostly clear, and a bit crisp.  Highs will range from the mid 50s to low 60s.  Monday looks to be sunny.  More tomorrow, as this thing keeps shifting.  Perhaps it will miss us all together.

Models are beginning to hone in on this current solution.  The storm will pass us, just west, out to sea, heading south.  Our best best, is brief, heavy, warm rain.  Cooling air will fill in behind.  We may see off shore winds develop.  A slight shift east, and we will see earlier, more prolonged and colder rain.  More tomorrow.  Enjoy these next few days.