Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Waaaaaay Overproduces.

Early afternoon yesterday saw the early arrival of steady rain that then lasted through much of the night.  Here on the west side we are currently sitting at 1.65 inches of rain, with more bands still on the radar.  This is a bit more than the quarter inch that that the GFS forecasted, even with its earlier start.  Looking at the radar this morning, I'd expect sporadic rain showers throughout the day.  Some of these could be thunderstorms and produce hail.  I'm still thinking about a quarter inch through the day, even though we had that significant rain last night.  That said, if one of these bands stalls on us, that quarter inch could easily shift to the half inch plus plus range.  We are still supposed to see another round of heavy rain starting this evening, which could bring close to an inch of rain.  We should easily break the two inch total mark by tomorrow morning.  Maybe pushing in on three.  BTW, it is raining much harder in the mountains with nearly double our town totals in Scotts Valley.

Wednesday the rain should let up by mid day, and we are still expecting that sun to come out later in the day.  Thursday looks dry and pleasant.  Currently, it still looks like the next system is to arrive sometime Friday afternoon and last through Saturday morning.

It is warm up in the mountains right now.  Most resorts received rain at the base.  Squaw is reporting 2" of snow at High Camp.  Wet snow.  Kirkwood is reporting 4"at the top and 3" at the base.  And it will snow up in them parts most of the day.  We should be looking at a foot of dense snow by the end of the day.  Moderate winds blowing, so that will help smoothie out the mountain.

Hope ya'll are ready for a wet day and a wet week.

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