Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Big Change: Rainy Xmas Eve.

24 hours of model divergence and agreement have led me to believe what popped up yesterday.  It now looks like we will not have a sunny day on Saturday, but instead a very wet day as a cold storm finds a weak spot in the high pressure and drives south.  But first, cold again this morning.  Surprisingly sustained cold.  It dropped below 40F at 2:30 AM and bottomed out at 34F around 4:30AM.  What was not typical is we then saw some warming, and then as the sun came up, temps dropped again.  As of 8:30, it is 37F outside on the west side of town.  Although, I would assume sensors that receive early morning light would be registering closer to 40F.

No change in forecast through Friday morning, then clouds begin to fill in, with increasing chances for rain.  By night fall, we should see the front edges of the storm.  This system is expected to bring wide spread rain to the entire state.  Good news.  About an inch plus here in town.  Up to three inches along the Sierra Crest and up to 2" in the San Bernardino Mountains.  The worst drought effected areas of the state seem to get the least rain, but still a solid .25 to half inch.  It will be fun watching this one.  More detail on it tomorrow and Thursday as the solidify.

After that, we are now seeing more systems lining up from early next week starting on the 26th.  We will need to watch these, but it certainly is looking like a wet finish to 2016.  At least the entire year is not the worst ever.  We so need this water.

In other news, Kirkwood is 100% open.  Upper mountains of other resorts are looking good.  So you can easily get your schuss on over the holiday break.

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