|Even last year had some snow, despite its leanness. Hoping to get some white on the mountains tonight.|
Short term, we will have mostly a heavy, grey sky for the next 24 hours. After than, more rain begins to fall from it. This next system even brings in some cooler air, with the high Thursday in the low 60s, and overnight temps dropping into the 40s. The heaviest rainfall should be in the afternoon hours Thursday, but could persist through the evening. Maybe a half inch locally. We should dry out a little bit on Friday, but I would not expect much of the cloud cover to part. We might have enough breaks to give us a stellar sunset Friday evening. Fingers crossed. More rain will come from the north on Saturday, likely in the afternoon. Todays model run has really backed off on the precipitation with this one, with most being drained out to the north. Santa Cruz would be measured in the hundredths of an inch. But with these models flipping every 6h run, you can really rely to greatly on them. High pressure builds in on Sunday and persists through Thanksgiving. Chance of a big one after that.
If you don't mind a few puddles, then get out this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Or wait for mid day Friday. If you need the sun to be shining, Sunday will be your day. Or Monday. Heck, could even see a little warm up. But the next few days will be mostly wet and cool.