Thursday, November 26, 2015

Cold and dry through the weekend, and then...

It is cold in Santa Cruz.  The temp dropped to 35.2F at 4:20AM on the west side this morning.  It finally warmed up to a whopping 52F this afternoon.  At least there was some sun shining.  Expect another cold morning on Friday.  And again on Saturday.  The days will warm up a bit more.  If you are headed to the snow tomorrow or this weekend, it is quite colder up in the Sierra.  Lows will be in the single digits and teen, with the highs in teens and low twenties. Cloud cover with breaks of sun, and chances for flurries will keep the snow surface in great condition.  The roads, on the other hand, are quite slick.  Be careful driving at elevations above 3000 feet, as black ice and slick roads will be the name of the game.  And if you are even driving around the local SC Mountains before sunrise the next few days, exercise caution.  It will be slick.

Sunday will still be cold, but lows will be in the upper 30s, and low 40s for Monday morning.  So we are warming a bit.  We will soar back into the low 60s to start the work week, and mid 60s by Wednesday.  Balmy.  What you want to keep on your radar is a chance for rain on Monday.  There is not a whole lot of agreement with the models, but the GFS is forecasting and undercutting low.  We see a chance for rain again on Thursday, and again the following week.  These storms are the first yet this year that are El Nino type storms.  Weak ones, but warm, mid latitude ones.  Something to watch.  The models should converge on a solution over the next few days for at least the start of next week.  In the meantime, bundle up, sip hot cider and stay cozy.

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